“The committee is expected to downplay the importance of lowering cholesterol intake and may put less emphasis on eating lean meats…. In December, the advisory panel said in its preliminary recommendations that cholesterol is no longer ‘considered a nutrient of concern for overconsumption.'”
Washington Post, February 11, 2015, Associated Press
How to Explain Almost Everything: The Power of Probability in Everyday Life by Dr. Robert A. Hitlin
More Questions from the Author:
What is the likelihood of life on other planets?
How can credit card companies afford to pay for the large amount of credit card fraud?
Do dating websites work?
When playing 5 card draw poker, should you keep a kicker (high card) along with a pair?
Do SAT and ACT scores predict success in college?
What is the best strategy for investing in the stock market?
“In a fascinating new study demonstrating how the gambler’s fallacy functions in the real world, Daniel Chen, Tobias Moskowitz and Kelly Shue show that “misperceptions of what constitutes a fair process can perversely lead to unfair decisions.” Chen et al analyze data from refugee asylum courts, loan application reviews and baseball, positing that in these three very different contexts, judges, bankers and umpires make “negatively autocorrelated decisions.” In other words, they (perhaps unconsciously) tend to avoid long strings of the same answer, sometimes sacrificing accuracy of judgment for the sake of a pattern of decisions that looks fairer and that regresses toward the mean.”
Steven Mazie, Praxis, January 23, 2015
“It turns out that the tweets conveying negative emotions, such as anger and anxiety, correlated with higher rates of heart disease deaths; the opposite was true for positive emotions.”
Elahe Izadi, Washington Post, January 21, 2015
“Every time an antibiotic is used, bacteria are getting to know it a little better. And eventually, they develop methods to fight it. But because of its unique method of action, this new antibiotic could keep working for longer than any other before bacteria even started to get wise — maybe even longer than 30 years.”
Rachel Feltman, Washington Post, January 8, 2015
Updating Kentucky’s Odds Of Going Undefeated
My colleague Carl Bialik and I wrote last week about the chances that the University of Kentucky’s basketball team would finish the 2014-15 season undefeated. At the time, the Wildcats were 27-0; they still needed to navigate past their four remaining regular-season foes, three opponents in the SEC tournament and six in the NCAA tournament to end the year a perfect 40-0. We pegged their odds of success at about 26 percent.
Neil Paine, FiveThirtyEight, March 6, 2015
The last banana: A thought experiment in probability
Imagine a game played with two players and two dice: if the biggest number rolled is one, two, three, or four, player 1 wins. If the biggest number rolled is five or six, player 2 wins. Who has the best probability of winning the game?
Leonardo Barichello, Ted Ed
Did Shakespeare write his plays?
Some people question whether Shakespeare really wrote the works that bear his name – or whether he even existed at all. Could it be true that the greatest writer in the English language was as fictional as his plays? Natalya St. Clair and Aaron Williams show how a linguistic tool called stylometry might shed light on the answer.
Natalya St. Clair and Aaron Williams, Ted Ed
Apple Will Join the Dow Jones Industrial Average
“Apple Inc. was added to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, ending a banishment that kept the world’s largest company out for years before a stock split made its shares palatable to the price-weighted measure.”
Michelle Davis, Bloomberg News, March 6, 2015